[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":193},["ShallowReactive",2],{"story-11201-cn":3},{"id":4,"slug":5,"slugs":5,"currentSlug":5,"title":6,"subtitle":7,"coverImagesSmall":8,"coverImages":9,"content":40,"questions":41,"relatedArticles":51,"body_color":191,"card_color":192},"11201",null,"台海紧张局势升级：中国军方压力重塑全球贸易格局","地缘政治边缘政策威胁 2.45 万亿美元区域贸易走廊",[],[10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"https://www.thetimes.com/imageserver/image/%2Ff06da0d9-f410-43ee-bdea-2ee479e3cfd2.gif?crop=640%2C360%2C0%2C0","https://images.axios.com/cAXmWa6Y59EbyNSgcQjQkzcmKtE=/0x304:2914x1943/1920x1080/2025/12/30/1767066228838.jpeg","https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/718bdd78848ab4ea082ab6d0dfdf411bfb454241/414_0_931_745/master/931.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none","https://static.dw.com/image/75329381_804.jpg","https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-12-29T112405Z_1950786195_RC2BQIAPM6BW_RTRMADP_3_CHINA-TAIWAN-DRILLS-1767054547.jpg?resize=1920%2C1075&quality=80","https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/AP25364099669909-1767076094.jpg?resize=1920%2C1440","https://i.cbc.ca/ais/e4837c70-8350-4e32-834e-09b133af7148,1767060384948/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C230%2C2213%2C1244%29%3B","https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/rockcms/2025-12/251230-china-taiwan-2-rs-7d0caf.jpg","https://npr.brightspotcdn.com/dims3/default/strip/false/crop/8000x5333+0+0/resize/1100/quality/50/format/jpeg/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fa2%2F49%2F39328ce5477e952aed831718ac10%2Fap25364069188848.jpg","https://static01.nyt.com/images/2025/12/30/multimedia/30int-china-taiwan-military-01-pgkz/30int-china-taiwan-military-01-pgkz-videoSixteenByNine1050.jpg","https://s.abcnews.com/images/International/wirestory_02c9fbe341e9bd10953b29c2e981a174_16x9_1600.jpg","https://assets.tegnaone.com/assets/AssociatedPress/images/6ddca8ec-3405-4b75-ba16-32cd146c23b9/20251230T110525/6ddca8ec-3405-4b75-ba16-32cd146c23b9.jpg","https://s.france24.com/media/display/4d861ed2-e522-11f0-adad-005056bfb2b6/w:1280/p:16x9/c1d6da698748c8d0792a4d1767f88ad574a5057c.jpg","https://images.wsj.net/im-07137015?width=700&height=385","https://dims.apnews.com/dims4/default/acb1e48/2147483647/strip/true/crop/4850x3228+0+2/resize/320x213!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2Fa5%2Fd2%2F9431455877846659024ac263ad54%2F79a06c0120b94b1bb59b5956ba7f0e4c","https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fcms-image-bucket-productionv3-ap-northeast-1-a7d2.s3.ap-northeast-1.amazonaws.com%2Fimages%2F8%2F1%2F2%2F0%2F11850218-1-eng-GB%2F0d5b12367a05-2025-06-08T060148Z_1267182962_RC26YEA4E1LD_RTRMADP_3_TAIWAN-DEFENCE.JPG?width=780&fit=cover&gravity=faces&dpr=2&quality=medium&source=nar-cms&format=auto","https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/J2IYSPDDKVKPJM2CTA2JYKNUYM.jpg?auth=eaeea9967fcfaa68089e38f15825c0f357a555161d59b1871c43fc59ad989aa9&width=1080&quality=80","https://cf.eip.telegraph.co.uk/store/vid-media/310c6817/thumbnails/310c6817-high-adaptive-stream.0000000.jpg","https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/S7NRXODZ2ZKO5IELAYZ7U6B4UU.jpg?auth=8696306dbe01c73d3bfb33e06a18d2f019c38a5b4fb941de61f27f4b3b802c80&width=1200&quality=80","https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/branded_news/8f2d/live/3c1c8da0-e51a-11f0-bc0a-cd401c4e2e27.jpg","https://www.commondreams.org/media-library/a-chinese-ship-is-seen-in-waters-near-pingtan-island-the-closest-point-to-taiwan-in-eastern-china-s-fujian-province-on-decembe.jpg?id=62639615&width=1200&height=800&quality=70&coordinates=0%2C0%2C0%2C1","https://english-kyodo.ismcdn.jp/mwimgs/9/a/414m/img_9a7019286099ebd63c52567bf0ea9a64699851.jpg","https://cdn.i-scmp.com/sites/default/files/styles/700x400/public/d8/images/canvas/2025/12/30/7d02d65f-aea1-414f-9148-a52abe861b55_1743706c.jpg?itok=K-rFPd7p&v=1767059962","https://assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2025/12/30/ca35d57e-db9a-4e71-8506-3edcfb4c7618/thumbnail/1200x630/1d0320f67107558761c7c6880ceb2e0d/china-taiwan-2253220868.jpg","https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F07d5a1f8-6129-45c8-989d-c46be381a7b4.jpg?source=next-article&fit=scale-down&quality=highest&width=700&dpr=1","https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/k8q1LvEJ/poster.jpg?width=1920","https://images.axios.com/Nw4Z4TSaa1SfZi8_F0eQ5kC1Zks=/1920x1080/smart/2022/06/26/180033-1656266433485.jpg","https://images01.military.com/sites/default/files/styles/full/public/2025-12/ApNewsroom_Taiwan_China_88848.jpg","https://live-production.wcms.abc-cdn.net.au/8b331dc3a165bf1b5af8b1e346c974b6?impolicy=wcms_crop_resize&cropH=2106&cropW=3744&xPos=0&yPos=195&width=862&height=485","https://www.theglobeandmail.com/resizer/v2/NXQBCUGTG5HKBKZLRGUVVCRUSQ.jpg?auth=4e563fbf0429cf6a9528f373f25b373366fd8f03f7c190738d7e0fed7647a1cf&width=600&quality=80","台湾海峡已成为地缘政治紧张局势的关键爆发点，中国咄咄逼人的军事姿态预示着该地区战略动态的深刻转变。在中国代号为**'正义使命 2025'**的一系列大规模军事演习中，中国展现了前所未有的军事准备水平，部署了 130 架军用飞机、22 艘海军舰艇，并进行了模拟潜在封锁情景的实弹演习。\n\n这些军事演习远不止是象征性的姿态。它们代表了一种旨在针对台湾关键海事基础设施的经过精心计算的**战略遏制**策略。通过专门针对基隆和高雄等深水港口，中国正在就其领土野心和升级紧张局势的意愿发出明确的信息。五角大楼的报告草案显示，中国计划到 2027 年做好准备，以可能赢得台湾冲突，这为这些战略考量增加了重要分量。\n\n经济影响是深远的。每年约有**$2.45 万亿美元的贸易额**通过台湾海峡，这使得这些军事演习可能成为全球经济的破坏因素。跨境电商卖家和国际物流公司面临前所未有的运营风险。演习已经产生了切实的市场影响，超过 80 架国内航班和 300 架国际航班受到干扰，预示着更广泛的供应链脆弱性。\n\n这些演习的时机和规模尤其值得关注。由于美国最近向台湾出售了总额为 111 亿美元的武器，中国正在利用军事演习来施加外交压力。这是自 2022 年南希·佩洛西访台以来进行的第六次大规模军事演习，表明了一种持续升级的地缘政治边缘政策策略。\n\n对于国际企业而言，信息很明确：**制定强有力的应急计划**。该地区需要一种新的风险管理方法，卖家需要多元化供应链，密切关注地缘政治发展，并为贸易动态的潜在快速变化做好准备。台湾海峡不再仅仅是一个地理位置——它已成为全球经济和战略竞争的关键枢纽。",[42,45,48],{"title":43,"answer":44,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"这些军事演习可能会对国际贸易路线产生什么影响？","军事演习对通过台湾海峡的价值 2.45 万亿美元的年度贸易通道构成重大风险。潜在的干扰包括：增加的运输成本、航线变更，以及在该地区运营的国际物流和电子商务公司面临的更高的运营不确定性。",{"title":46,"answer":47,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"中国进行这些军事演习的战略目标是什么？","中国旨在展示军事准备，对台湾及其国际盟友施加外交压力，并表明其对潜在统一的承诺。这些演习是一个战略警告，表明中国有能力在必要时封锁台湾并扰乱地区贸易。",{"title":49,"answer":50,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"跨境卖家应如何在这种地缘政治环境下规避风险？","卖家应制定全面的应急计划，包括将供应链多元化，拓展至台湾及中国大陆以外的地区，建立替代运输路线，维持灵活的库存策略，并持续监测可能影响贸易动态的地缘政治发展。",[52,57,61,65,69,73,77,81,85,89,93,96,100,104,108,112,116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,175,179,183,187],{"id":53,"title":54,"source":55,"logo":37,"time":56},175361,"China Flexes Blockade Capabilities near Taiwan on Second Day of Military Drills","https://www.military.com/daily-news/2025/12/30/china-flexes-blockade-capabilities-near-taiwan-second-day-of-military-drills.html","2天前",{"id":58,"title":59,"source":60,"logo":35,"time":56},175360,"Trump ‘not worried’ as China fires rockets towards Taiwan during war games","https://www.the-independent.com/asia/china/taiwan-china-war-games-airspace-shut-trump-b2891943.html",{"id":62,"title":63,"source":64,"logo":26,"time":56},174545,"China launches live-firing drills around Taiwan simulating blockade","https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-launches-live-firing-drills-around-taiwan-its-biggest-war-games-date-2025-12-30/",{"id":66,"title":67,"source":68,"logo":27,"time":56},175359,"China fires rockets towards Taiwan","https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/12/30/china-fires-rockets-towards-taiwan/",{"id":70,"title":71,"source":72,"logo":30,"time":56},174321,"China Announces 'Major Military Drills' Around Taiwan in Wake of Massive US Arms Sale","https://www.commondreams.org/news/china-taiwan-military-drills",{"id":74,"title":75,"source":76,"logo":33,"time":56},175356,"China fires missiles on second day of military drills Taiwan calls \"highly provocative and reckless\"","https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-taiwan-military-drills-trump-xi-jinping-december-2025-blockade-rehersal/",{"id":78,"title":79,"source":80,"logo":18,"time":56},175355,"China flexes blockade capabilities near Taiwan on second day of military drills","https://www.npr.org/2025/12/30/g-s1-103963/china-flexes-blockade-capabilities-near-taiwan-on-second-day-of-military-drills",{"id":82,"title":83,"source":84,"logo":12,"time":56},174543,"Trump not worried by China’s simulated attack on Taiwan, he says, as live-fire drills enter second day","https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/dec/30/trump-not-worried-china-military-live-fire-drills-taiwan",{"id":86,"title":87,"source":88,"logo":5,"time":56},175358,"Key dates in Taiwan’s history: A contested island's evolution","https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/key-dates-taiwan-history-contested-110441718.html",{"id":90,"title":91,"source":92,"logo":29,"time":56},174544,"Donald Trump says he is not worried about Chinese military drills around Taiwan","https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxwxkeg9w6o",{"id":94,"title":87,"source":95,"logo":21,"time":56},175357,"https://www.10tv.com/article/syndication/associatedpress/key-dates-in-taiwans-history-a-contested-islands-evolution/616-d0464932-1805-40ec-ab28-0b0571be2178",{"id":97,"title":98,"source":99,"logo":5,"time":56},175352,"China stages military drills around Taiwan to warn ‘external forces’ after US, Japan tensions","https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/29/china-stages-military-drills-around-taiwan-to-warn-external-forces-after-us-japan-tensions-00707730",{"id":101,"title":102,"source":103,"logo":10,"time":56},175374,"China taunts Taiwan with largest war games yet in warning to US","https://www.thetimes.com/world/asia/article/china-drills-taiwan-nkrsg8q0r?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcWKEhkuOpWSFHKmKI6I3LYpjVM1tmo7VOE7g1FPe3c368PDiiaJ5kD&gaa_ts=6953c55b&gaa_sig=toWZ1B90Vfgii5yAkBOom9Bf42myigEKEYb5XWbc13clMUVWU9znINZsFaRp8P2Os_891PtNIhsaq8C2j1Vnhw%3D%3D",{"id":105,"title":106,"source":107,"logo":23,"time":56},175373,"Chinese Military Drills Send ‘Stern Warning’ After U.S. Arms Sales to Taiwan","https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/chinese-military-drills-send-stern-warning-after-u-s-arms-sales-to-taiwan-1a835994?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqe75iW8SFu5NzAFrCm3_BTVm6x37Z3umDHEny-vJ11NmoKfNZRX7-mq&gaa_ts=6953c55b&gaa_sig=6e-sU8NLHl6Aey9dcH4yCznbzL1-jPRhTobFxouZqEnO-a7OYCOMSAVMsbWBS5AsALV87H_J8lBme3AEmu3vKw%3D%3D",{"id":109,"title":110,"source":111,"logo":25,"time":56},175354,"Taiwan's minister for seas upgrades coast guard as China runs war games","https://asia.nikkei.com/editor-s-picks/interview/taiwan-s-minister-for-seas-upgrades-coast-guard-as-china-runs-war-games",{"id":113,"title":114,"source":115,"logo":14,"time":56},175453,"China fires several rockets around Taiwan during live military drills","https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/30/china-kicks-off-second-day-of-military-drills-around-taiwan",{"id":117,"title":118,"source":119,"logo":13,"time":56},174320,"Taiwan: China's massive military drills stir invasion fears","https://www.dw.com/en/taiwan-chinas-massive-military-drills-stir-invasion-fears/a-75329283",{"id":121,"title":122,"source":123,"logo":22,"time":56},175353,"China launches second day of military drills around Taiwan","https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20251230-china-conducts-second-day-of-military-drills-around-taiwan",{"id":125,"title":126,"source":127,"logo":31,"time":56},175370,"Chinese drills near Taiwan continue for 2nd day, air traffic disrupted","https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/67708",{"id":129,"title":130,"source":131,"logo":11,"time":56},175372,"Photos: China holds military drills around Taiwan, but Trump says he's not worried","https://www.axios.com/2025/12/30/photos-china-military-drills-taiwan-trump",{"id":133,"title":134,"source":135,"logo":19,"time":56},175371,"With Artillery and Warships, China Practices Blockading Taiwan","https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/30/world/asia/china-taiwan-military-drills.html",{"id":137,"title":138,"source":139,"logo":5,"time":56},174318,"China warns U.S. it cannot stop Taiwan reunification","https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/12/29/china-warns-us-cannot-stop-taiwan-reunification/7651767062456/",{"id":141,"title":142,"source":143,"logo":16,"time":56},174319,"China launches live-firing drills around Taiwan in 2nd day of exercises aimed at further isolating the island","https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/china-taiwan-war-games-military-exercises-9.7029773",{"id":145,"title":146,"source":147,"logo":38,"time":56},174314,"China's message to international 'scoundrels' was directed at the US","https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-30/chinas-military-drills-around-taiwan-a-message-to-united-states/106186794",{"id":149,"title":150,"source":151,"logo":5,"time":56},174315,"Explainer-What Is 'Taiwan Independence' and Is Taiwan Already Independent?","https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2025-12-29/explainer-what-is-taiwan-independence-and-is-taiwan-already-independent",{"id":153,"title":154,"source":155,"logo":28,"time":56},174316,"Explainer: What is 'Taiwan independence' and is Taiwan already independent?","https://www.reuters.com/world/china/what-is-taiwan-independence-is-taiwan-already-independent-2025-12-30/",{"id":157,"title":158,"source":159,"logo":32,"time":56},174317,"PLA begins second day of live-fire exercises around 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Taiwan different from earlier drills?","https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/30/how-are-chinas-new-war-games-around-taiwan-different-from-earlier-drills",{"id":180,"title":181,"source":182,"logo":39,"time":56},175362,"China fires rockets into waters around Taiwan, threatens to block ships","https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-china-fires-rockets-into-waters-around-taiwan-threatens-to-block-ships/",{"id":184,"title":185,"source":186,"logo":17,"time":56},175365,"China military exercises: PLA simulates Taiwan blockade, Trump 'not worried'","https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/china-military-exercises-pla-taiwan-blockade-trump-xi-justice-mission-rcna251464",{"id":188,"title":189,"source":190,"logo":36,"time":56},175364,"Taiwan 2027: China's target date for potential takeover fast approaches","https://www.axios.com/2025/12/30/taiwan-2027-china-invade-trump-response","#2e6e7cff","#2e6e7c4d",1767292277060]