[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":274},["ShallowReactive",2],{"story-198129-en":3},{"id":4,"slug":5,"slugs":5,"currentSlug":5,"title":6,"subtitle":7,"coverImagesSmall":8,"coverImages":9,"content":46,"questions":47,"relatedArticles":72,"body_color":272,"card_color":273},"198129",null,"Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise to 58% by January 2027 | Cross-Border Seller Financing Crisis","- CME FedWatch shows 49-58% probability of rate increases; inventory financing costs could surge 200-300 basis points by Q4 2026, directly impacting 50K+ cross-border sellers relying on credit lines",[],[10,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45],"https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA23vFIt.img?w=2752&h=1536&m=4&q=99","https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/2Z6S6G34MJL4TFTWI42EUTBQ2E.jpg?auth=4e9e357144a7b0c956a012ea110f3d445fb3ce924ea0ad2d8472a3c547f6d04b&width=1920&quality=80","https://userupload.gurufocus.com/2056374417143013376.png","https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/74Y4E64VJZOBFHJMIF766QE6JU.jpg?auth=9e551bf1c2cdd241376c124589c7f8a0e79aba697488f517987d3f56567d4ccf&width=1920&quality=80","https://coinedition.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/June-CPI-Report-US-Inflation-Reaches-Highest-Level-Since-February.jpg","https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA226Hjn.img?w=1200&h=675&m=4&q=62","https://www.theglobeandmail.com/resizer/v2/Y3Z63UCXRRH2JIGPFVXUPW4KNI.jpg?auth=482038b4dfa86f2b6259fe23b40558f66830291f9c623efc2a36c91410cf4f1b&width=640&quality=80","https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA23h7Y0.img?w=768&h=512&m=6","https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/GettyImages-2272390599-e1778846674480.jpg?format=webp&w=1440&q=100","https://www.chosun.com/resizer/v2/FSWKRUME4ZCPHDF6GSK3OYI6KQ.jpg?auth=cc83e9edfcfb86f1f08ee6ca84ee2bbede007182a682861c091e4354c78d08ab&width=616","https://s.yimg.com/lo/mysterio/api/CBA075466D88C52034637A5C0E8209BA66CC849619375D9B058C71201AAFCB8A/subgraphmysterio/resizefit_w960_h640;quality_80;format_webp/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Faol_usatoday_us_articles_590%2Fb1c9b5d776f5795ec1d15047f76972ea","https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/arVGO.xvvbwEtFwWCralWA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTY0MDtoPTM2MA--/https://media.zenfs.com/en/quartz_855/cc41f1719baac64839123b21c7fb6cf9","https://cf-images.us-east-1.prod.boltdns.net/v1/static/854081161001/ac6248ae-ef10-4336-a9be-72fd9abe2d60/86c08e18-713f-44c3-9a20-1ff54a414680/1280x720/match/image.jpg","https://www.abfjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/morgan-housel-X_fbh4Utwk4-unsplash-scaled.jpg","https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/2255788088/image_2255788088.jpg?io=getty-c-w630","https://www.thestreet.com/.image/NDA6MDAwMDAwMDAzMDQ1ODAy/stockbroker-mhg-05-18-26.jpg?profile=w2560&ar=4-3","https://qz.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1920,quality=85,format=auto/https://assets.qz.com/media/GettyImages-2275626214.jpg","https://blog.tipranks.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/shutterstock_2474281557-750x406.jpg","https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/47acc6ff-a819-41f2-835c-33aa0f7a0104/ChatGPT_Image_May_18__2026__05_01_32_PM.png","https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA1W9vnu.img?w=768&h=432&m=4&q=71","https://s.yimg.com/os/en/reuters.com/b5d18ab5f39e37d784b4a7f0b334e986","https://s.yimg.com/lo/mysterio/api/840E3B9EF4C7BA9D5385E1EEBACA0848E614495E2CFD50DF1DE0F1292D9D3697/subgraphmysterio/resizefill_w976_h549;quality_80;format_webp/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Faol_thestreet_articles_772%2F1877c2003153961e2b747a5b3d939652","https://pubimg.futunn.com/202205120343238840f90ca39c5.jpg","https://files-tr8.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/blog-posts/29c1f81c5bad77374c677cb6/feature-images/6a068e403e3a5-feature-image.jpg","https://img.etimg.com/photo/imgsize-78156,msid-131169016/131169016.jpg","https://www.theglobeandmail.com/resizer/v2/EJWR5PBPHZCDBEVJE6JENKDCHQ.JPG?auth=f646d03119ff84bc8a83505505e6d66b19bf0204a2fbdc77793fbc92795688f6&width=1200&height=675&quality=80&smart=true","https://virginiabusiness.com/files/1/2026/05/2026-05-05T142958Z_2_LYNXMPEM440WQ_RTROPTP_4_USA-MARKETS-BONDS-PAYROLLS-875x548.jpg","https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1868080937/image_1868080937.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280","https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/108242065-1765829353583-gettyimages-2251524445-US_FEDERAL_RESERVE.jpeg?v=1769622665&w=1600&h=900","https://www.thestreet.com/.image/NDA6MDAwMDAwMDAzMDQ0MDkw/nyse-mhg-05-16-26.jpg?profile=w2560&ar=4-3","https://m.economictimes.com/thumb/msid-131169062,width-1200,height-900,resizemode-4,imgsize-78156/us-stock-market-sticky-inflation-complicates-kevin-warshs-fed-transition-as-rate-hike-odds-jump.jpg","https://katu.com/resources/media2/16x9/7259/986/0x379/90/6e2f9b6e-587c-4d8a-ad36-463ed9868e57-GettyImages2272406925.jpg","https://www.chosun.com/resizer/v2/KP4L5MVIBRBJZMCPYEBOELLA2E.jpg?auth=bdea411565c7f42d5356a792a394aecfae679ebf2c147209d0f33e6ff653f7d1&width=616","https://assets.jpmprivatebank.com/content/dam/jpm-pb-aem/global/en/images/article-hero/investing-heros/Getty-Images-1401649530.png.asset.920.613.jpg","https://s.yimg.com/lo/mysterio/api/1B57788CC43984664208F22F69224EB9AB20FEC4500E78E0D904B82943C7201D/subgraphmysterio/resizefit_w960_h640;quality_80;format_webp/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Faol_thestreet_articles_772%2F5f894354a607a12e4a2854496dc6f0de","https://images.kitco.com/img/height_756,width_1340/icms/a1b24c45-3549-4749-8ff8-49b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Reserve rate hike expectations have shifted dramatically as of May 18, 2026**, with CME Group's FedWatch tool now pricing in 49% probability of a December 2026 rate hike and 58% probability by January 2027—a complete reversal from earlier rate-cut expectations. This reversal stems from persistent inflation across multiple measures: headline CPI jumped 3.8% year-over-year in April (highest since May 2023), core PCE inflation reached 3.2%, and Producer Price Index surged 6% year-over-year—the largest jump since 2022. Energy prices specifically spiked 17.9% annually due to Iran war-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, while federal spending is projected to rise 6% in fiscal 2026 and AI data center investments are approaching $1 trillion annually, creating excess aggregate demand that economist William Luther argues the Fed is misdiagnosing.\n\n**For cross-border e-commerce sellers, this rate trajectory creates an immediate financing crisis.** Current Federal Funds Rate sits at 3.50-3.75% (maintained since April 30, 2025), but if rate hikes materialize in December 2026 or January 2027, short-term inventory financing costs will increase 200-300 basis points within 12-18 months. Sellers currently paying 6-8% APR on inventory lines of credit could face 8.5-11% rates by Q1 2027. For a mid-sized seller carrying $500K in inventory financed through working capital loans, this translates to $10K-15K additional annual financing costs. BNP Paribas economists James Egelhof and Guneet Dhingra emphasize that \"monetary policy will follow economic data rather than leadership preference,\" meaning even new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's stated preference for lower rates cannot override inflation data. The 30-year Treasury yield has already exceeded 5%, while 10-year yields hit 4.5%, signaling bond markets are pricing in sustained higher rates.\n\n**The timing creates a critical cash flow window for sellers.** With the June 16-17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Warsh approaching, and December 2026 rate hike probability at 49%, sellers have 6-8 months to lock in favorable financing terms before rates rise. Sellers should immediately evaluate: (1) refinancing existing inventory loans at current rates before lender risk premiums increase; (2) shifting from variable-rate to fixed-rate financing structures; (3) accelerating inventory turnover to reduce working capital requirements; and (4) exploring alternative financing like invoice factoring (which may offer better terms than traditional credit lines during rate uncertainty). The strong job market (unemployment at 4.3%, April job growth exceeded expectations) provides some consumer purchasing power cushion, but higher borrowing costs will reduce consumer discretionary spending on imported goods—particularly affecting sellers in electronics, home goods, and apparel categories where credit-dependent consumers drive 35-40% of demand.",[48,51,54,57,60,63,66,69],{"title":49,"answer":50,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"Which seller segments are most vulnerable to rate hike impacts?","Sellers most vulnerable include: (1) mid-sized importers ($500K-$5M annual inventory) relying on variable-rate credit lines for working capital; (2) electronics and home goods sellers where credit-dependent consumers drive 35-40% of demand; (3) sellers with high inventory turnover requirements (30-60 days) who need continuous financing; and (4) sellers with existing debt obligations maturing in 2026-2027 facing refinancing at higher rates. Conversely, sellers with strong cash reserves, fixed-rate financing locked in, or low inventory requirements face minimal rate hike impact. Sellers should assess their cash conversion cycle (days to convert inventory to cash) and refinance before December 2026.",{"title":52,"answer":53,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"What alternative financing options should sellers evaluate during rate uncertainty?","Sellers should evaluate: (1) **Invoice Factoring** - selling outstanding invoices at 2-4% discount to unlock immediate cash without rate exposure; (2) **Fixed-Rate Term Loans** - locking in current 6-8% rates for 12-24 months before rates rise; (3) **Supply Chain Finance Programs** - negotiating extended payment terms (45-60 days) with suppliers to reduce working capital needs; (4) **Inventory Financing with Rate Caps** - securing loans with maximum rate increases capped at 1-1.5%; and (5) **Supplier Financing** - leveraging relationships with manufacturers for direct financing at lower rates than traditional lenders. Each option trades off cost, flexibility, and cash flow timing differently based on seller size and category.",{"title":55,"answer":56,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"How will higher rates affect consumer purchasing power for imported goods?","Higher borrowing costs will reduce consumer discretionary spending on imported goods through two channels: (1) increased credit card and auto loan rates reduce purchasing power for credit-dependent consumers (35-40% of e-commerce demand in electronics, home goods, apparel); and (2) weaker consumer confidence from rate hike expectations may suppress demand. However, strong job growth (April employment exceeded expectations, unemployment at 4.3%) provides some purchasing power cushion. The delayed effects of rate policy mean sellers should monitor Fed communications closely while preparing for potential cost pressures from persistent inflation and reduced consumer demand.",{"title":58,"answer":59,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"What is the difference between Fed Chair Warsh's preference and market expectations?","New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee, has suggested 'looking through' one-off price increases and believes AI-driven productivity gains could provide disinflationary effects, theoretically favoring lower rates. However, BNP Paribas emphasizes that 'monetary policy will follow economic data rather than leadership preference.' With sticky inflation at 3.8% CPI (nearly double the 2% target) and only one vote among 12 FOMC members, Warsh faces significant persuasion challenges. Bond markets are pricing in rate hikes regardless of his stated preference, as evidenced by 30-year Treasury yields exceeding 5% and 10-year yields hitting 4.5%.",{"title":61,"answer":62,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"What are the main inflation drivers the Fed is monitoring?","Economist William Luther argues the Fed is misdiagnosing inflation causes by focusing on transitory supply shocks (Iran war disruptions, tariffs, oil prices) rather than excessive aggregate demand. Luther's analysis shows total spending rose 6% over four quarters ended March 2025 while GDP grew only 2.66% annualized—a 3.34-percentage-point gap translating directly to inflation. Key spending sources include: federal government outlays projected to rise 6% in fiscal 2026, AI data center investments approaching $1 trillion annually, and robust consumer spending bolstered by a 28% stock market gain. Energy prices specifically surged 17.9% annually due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions.",{"title":64,"answer":65,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"Should sellers lock in financing before the June 2026 FOMC meeting?","Yes. With the June 16-17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh approaching and December 2026 rate hike probability at 49%, sellers have a 6-8 month window to secure favorable financing terms. Immediate actions include: (1) refinancing existing inventory loans at current rates before lender risk premiums increase; (2) shifting from variable-rate to fixed-rate financing structures; (3) evaluating invoice factoring as an alternative to traditional credit lines; and (4) accelerating inventory turnover to reduce working capital requirements. Warsh has only one vote among 12 FOMC members, limiting his ability to prevent rate hikes if inflation data remains elevated.",{"title":67,"answer":68,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"What is the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike by January 2027?","As of May 18, 2026, CME Group's FedWatch tool shows 58% probability of a rate hike by January 2027 and 49% probability by December 2026—a dramatic shift from earlier expectations of rate cuts. BNP Paribas economists confirmed on May 15, 2025, that bond markets are pricing in this risk due to persistent inflation: headline CPI at 3.8% year-over-year (April), core PCE at 3.2% (March), and Producer Price Index up 6% year-over-year. The Federal Funds Rate has remained at 3.50-3.75% since April 30, 2025, but rate hikes would likely begin at the December 2026 FOMC meeting if inflation data continues to exceed the Fed's 2% target.",{"title":70,"answer":71,"author":5,"avatar":5,"time":5},"How will Fed rate hikes impact inventory financing costs for cross-border sellers?","Rate hikes of 200-300 basis points (0.75-1.0% increase) would raise short-term inventory financing costs from current 6-8% APR to 8.5-11% APR by Q1 2027. For a seller carrying $500K in inventory financed through working capital loans, this represents $10K-15K in additional annual financing expenses. Higher rates directly compress profit margins on imported goods, particularly affecting sellers in electronics, home goods, and apparel categories where credit-dependent consumers drive 35-40% of demand. Sellers should lock in fixed-rate financing immediately before lender risk premiums increase.",[73,78,83,88,92,97,100,104,108,111,114,118,122,126,130,134,138,143,147,150,154,158,162,166,169,172,175,179,182,186,190,194,198,203,207,211,215,219,223,227,231,235,238,242,246,249,252,256,260,264,268],{"id":74,"title":75,"source":76,"logo":5,"time":77},926029,"Rising US inflation heightens rate hike expectations; US tech stocks decouple from energy price surge sentiment; some Bank of Japan members support an early rate hike — 0518 Macro Highlights","https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605417135","3D AGO",{"id":79,"title":80,"source":81,"logo":43,"time":82},926027,"Will the Fed hike? Here’s what you need to know","https://privatebank.jpmorgan.com/nam/en/insights/markets-and-investing/ideas-and-insights/will-the-fed-hike-heres-what-you-need-to-know","2D AGO",{"id":84,"title":85,"source":86,"logo":40,"time":87},927314,"US Stock Market: Sticky inflation complicates Kevin Warsh’s Fed transition as rate hike odds jump","https://m.economictimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stock-market-sticky-inflation-complicates-kevin-warshs-fed-transition-as-rate-hike-odds-jump/articleshow/131169016.cms","6D AGO",{"id":89,"title":90,"source":91,"logo":14,"time":82},926028,"US April CPI Report Sparks Fresh Fears of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026","https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/b14c3-us-april-cpi-report-sparks-fresh-fears-of-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026",{"id":93,"title":94,"source":95,"logo":45,"time":96},927315,"Markets begin eyeing a Fed rate hike around the turn of the year","https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2026-05-15/markets-begin-eyeing-fed-rate-hike-around-turn-year","5D AGO",{"id":98,"title":94,"source":99,"logo":16,"time":96},928205,"https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-markets-begin-eyeing-a-fed-rate-hike-around-the-turn-of-the-year/",{"id":101,"title":102,"source":103,"logo":42,"time":77},926025,"Federal Reserve Weighs Rate Hikes as U.S. CPI Surges","https://www.chosun.com/english/market-money-en/2026/05/18/AR3DLW4AUFHAJGFKUJ5LK47AEQ/",{"id":105,"title":106,"source":107,"logo":44,"time":77},927312,"BNP Paribas cools bond-market jitters on Fed interest-rate hikes","https://www.aol.com/articles/bnp-paribas-cools-bond-market-140700000.html",{"id":109,"title":94,"source":110,"logo":36,"time":96},928204,"https://virginiabusiness.com/markets-expect-fed-rate-hike-early-2027-inflation/",{"id":112,"title":94,"source":113,"logo":17,"time":82},926026,"https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/markets-begin-eyeing-a-fed-rate-hike-around-the-turn-of-the-year/ar-AA23h5tw?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds",{"id":115,"title":116,"source":117,"logo":26,"time":96},927313,"Traders price in Fed rate hike after inflation surge","https://qz.com/fed-rate-hike-traders-futures-inflation-cpi-ppi-051526",{"id":119,"title":120,"source":121,"logo":5,"time":82},928203,"Macquarie: The Federal Reserve needs a more hawkish stance to ease inflation concerns","https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605418158",{"id":123,"title":124,"source":125,"logo":22,"time":82},926023,"Wall Street braces for more pain as experts predict new Fed rate hike amid sticky inflation","https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6395953691112",{"id":127,"title":128,"source":129,"logo":25,"time":82},927310,"Veteran analyst Yardeni stuns Wall Street with Fed interest rate forecast","https://www.thestreet.com/fed/veteran-analyst-ed-yardeni-stuns-wall-street-by-forecasting-a-fed-rate-hike-as-soon-as-july",{"id":131,"title":132,"source":133,"logo":10,"time":82},928202,"Fed rate hike odds hit 49% by December — what that means for your mortgage and savings","https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/fed-rate-hike-odds-hit-49-by-december-what-that-means-for-your-mortgage-and-savings/vi-AA23vmcO",{"id":135,"title":136,"source":137,"logo":19,"time":77},926024,"U.S. Inflation, Housing Costs Surge; Rate Hike Looms","https://www.chosun.com/english/market-money-en/2026/05/18/BK5C2VPYKZFQZATJJFZZF3MIVM/",{"id":139,"title":140,"source":141,"logo":5,"time":142},927311,"Fed hikes on the radar: Are EMs prepared? By Investing.com","https://ng.investing.com/news/economy-news/fed-hikes-on-the-radar-are-ems-prepared-2515165","4D AGO",{"id":144,"title":145,"source":146,"logo":31,"time":82},928201,"Veteran analyst stuns Wall Street with Fed interest rate forecast","https://www.aol.com/finance/veteran-analyst-stuns-wall-street-230300659.html",{"id":148,"title":85,"source":149,"logo":34,"time":77},926021,"https://www.inkl.com/news/us-stock-market-sticky-inflation-complicates-kevin-warsh-s-fed-transition-as-rate-hike-odds-jump",{"id":151,"title":152,"source":153,"logo":5,"time":82},928200,"Ed Yardeni warns bond vigilantes may force Fed into July rate hike as yields near 2007 highs","https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/ed-yardeni-warns-bond-vigilantes-may-force-fed-into-july-rate-hike-as-yields-near-2007-highs/ar-AA23vZfF",{"id":155,"title":156,"source":157,"logo":23,"time":77},926022,"Middle Market Debt Weekly: Hot April Inflation Prints Push Fed Cuts to Late 2026","https://www.abfjournal.com/middle-market-debt-weekly-hot-april-inflation-prints-push-fed-cuts-to-late-2026/",{"id":159,"title":160,"source":161,"logo":5,"time":77},926020,"Market Sentiment Shifts: From Expecting 'Major Rate Cuts This Year' to Betting on 'Rate Hikes Again' in Just a Few Months","https://news.futunn.com/en/post/73243164/market-sentiment-shifts-from-expecting-major-rate-cuts-this-year",{"id":163,"title":164,"source":165,"logo":24,"time":96},926038,"Inflation fears revive Wall Street bets on future Fed rate hikes","https://seekingalpha.com/news/4593964-inflation-fears-revive-wall-street-bets-on-future-fed-rate-hikes",{"id":167,"title":164,"source":168,"logo":29,"time":96},926039,"https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/inflation-fears-revive-wall-street-bets-on-future-fed-rate-hikes/ar-AA23ihxB?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds",{"id":170,"title":94,"source":171,"logo":13,"time":96},926036,"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/markets-begin-eyeing-fed-rate-hike-around-turn-year-2026-05-15/",{"id":173,"title":94,"source":174,"logo":30,"time":96},926037,"https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/markets-begin-eyeing-fed-rate-155421720.html",{"id":176,"title":177,"source":178,"logo":5,"time":96},926034,"Hot inflation data revives fears of interest rate hike","https://www.businessreport.com/article/hot-inflation-data-revives-fears-of-interest-rate-hike",{"id":180,"title":116,"source":181,"logo":21,"time":96},926035,"https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/traders-price-fed-rate-hike-193954360.html",{"id":183,"title":184,"source":185,"logo":5,"time":87},926032,"CBOE Volatility Index Soars 9.2% to 18.84 Early Friday as Rising Fed Rate Increase Bets Lift US Dollar","https://www.marketscreener.com/news/cboe-volatility-index-soars-9-2-to-18-84-early-friday-as-rising-fed-rate-increase-bets-lift-us-doll-ce7f5bd2df89f12c",{"id":187,"title":188,"source":189,"logo":5,"time":87},926033,"Another thing weighing on stocks: Traders see greater chance of rate hikes in 2026","https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-500-and-nasdaq-set-to-pull-back-as-treasury-yields-climb/card/another-thing-weighing-on-stocks-traders-see-greater-chance-of-rate-hikes-in-2026-NFtYLPhcsa45wR8AoGwj",{"id":191,"title":192,"source":193,"logo":5,"time":142},926030,"Fed hikes on the radar: Are EMs prepared?","https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/fed-hikes-on-the-radar-are-ems-prepared-4694513",{"id":195,"title":196,"source":197,"logo":33,"time":87},926031,"Fed Pause to Rate Hike Risk: Stock Sectors That Survive","https://www.heygotrade.com/en/blog/fed-pause-rate-hike-risk-stock-sectors-survive-reversal/",{"id":199,"title":200,"source":201,"logo":41,"time":202},926040,"Oil-driven inflation surge raises odds Fed keeps rates elevated","https://katu.com/news/nation-world/oil-driven-inflation-surge-raises-odds-federal-reserve-keeps-rates-elevated-kevin-warsh-iran-war-strait-of-hormuz-cpi-ppi","7D AGO",{"id":204,"title":205,"source":206,"logo":32,"time":82},927309,"It's not just about 'no rate cuts' anymore! The Fed might even consider raising rates again under these three scenarios.","https://news.futunn.com/en/post/73290654/it-s-not-just-about-no-rate-cuts-anymore-the",{"id":208,"title":209,"source":210,"logo":18,"time":82},928319,"Forget tariffs and the Iran oil shock—a top economist says the Fed is blind to the real inflation threat","https://fortune.com/2026/05/19/what-is-causing-inflation-oil-tariffs-fed-powell-warsh/",{"id":212,"title":213,"source":214,"logo":20,"time":82},926018,"Fed rate hike odds rise as inflation surges. What it means for you","https://www.aol.com/articles/fed-rate-hike-odds-rise-200002638.html",{"id":216,"title":217,"source":218,"logo":27,"time":82},926019,"2026 Rate Cut Odds Plunge to 0% as Inflation Fears Overwhelm","https://www.tipranks.com/news/2026-rate-cut-odds-plunge-to-0-as-inflation-fears-overwhelm",{"id":220,"title":221,"source":222,"logo":15,"time":77},926016,"Fed drops rate-cut bombshell as energy shocks raise concerns of possible hike","https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/fed-drops-rate-cut-bombshell-as-energy-shocks-raise-concerns-of-possible-hike/ar-AA2276Fv?ocid=hpmsn&cvid=69f3c98b2e644cc8a2ce24cba07a0b3b&ei=40",{"id":224,"title":225,"source":226,"logo":5,"time":77},926017,"Misread Signals: 1970s Inflation Bogeyman Isn't Back","https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2026/05/18/misread_signals_1970s_inflation_bogeyman_isnt_back_1183231.html",{"id":228,"title":229,"source":230,"logo":12,"time":82},926014,"Federal Reserve Signals Potential Rate Hike Amid Rising Inflatio","https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8866397/federal-reserve-signals-potential-rate-hike-amid-rising-inflation?mobile=true%3Fmobile%3Dtrue&mobile=true%3Fmobile%3Dtrue%3Fmobile%3Dtrue&mobile=true&mobile=true",{"id":232,"title":233,"source":234,"logo":39,"time":77},926058,"Major bank drops bombshell on Fed interest-rate bets","https://www.thestreet.com/fed/major-bank-drops-bombshell-on-fed-interest-rate-bets-despite-bond-market-warnings-of-upcoming-hikes",{"id":236,"title":132,"source":237,"logo":10,"time":82},926015,"https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/fed-rate-hike-odds-hit-49-by-december-what-that-means-for-your-mortgage-and-savings/vi-AA23vmcO?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds",{"id":239,"title":240,"source":241,"logo":38,"time":96},926059,"Traders now see next Fed interest rate move as a hike following inflation surge","https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/traders-now-see-next-fed-interest-rate-move-as-a-hike-following-inflation-surge.html",{"id":243,"title":244,"source":245,"logo":37,"time":82},926056,"Fed hike talks build as inflation pressure reignites","https://seekingalpha.com/news/4594332-fed-hike-talks-build-as-inflation-pressure-reignites",{"id":247,"title":244,"source":248,"logo":5,"time":82},926013,"https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/fed-hike-talks-build-as-inflation-pressure-reignites/ar-AA23tQ6R?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds",{"id":250,"title":213,"source":251,"logo":5,"time":82},926057,"https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/05/18/fed-rate-hike-odds-what-it-means/90140362007/",{"id":253,"title":254,"source":255,"logo":28,"time":82},928199,"The bond vigilantes are already trying to force the Fed's hand","https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/p/bond-vigilantes-market-kevin-warsh-investors-fed-rate-cuts",{"id":257,"title":258,"source":259,"logo":5,"time":82},928198,"Is the futures market getting ahead of itself on rate hikes?","https://www.marketscreener.com/news/is-the-futures-market-getting-ahead-of-itself-on-rate-hikes-ce7f5adbdc89f526",{"id":261,"title":262,"source":263,"logo":5,"time":82},928197,"Analysis-Is the futures market getting ahead of itself on rate hikes? By Reuters","https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/analysisis-the-futures-market-getting-ahead-of-itself-on-rate-hikes-4697877",{"id":265,"title":266,"source":267,"logo":35,"time":82},928196,"Is the futures market getting ahead of itself on U.S. rate hikes?","https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-is-the-futures-market-getting-ahead-of-itself-on-us-rate-hikes/",{"id":269,"title":258,"source":270,"logo":11,"time":271},928195,"https://www.reuters.com/business/is-futures-market-getting-ahead-itself-rate-hikes-2026-05-19/","1D AGO","#99c7abff","#99c7ab4d",1779373863762]